One of my first landlords used to love impromptu philosophical
debates about politics and business.
He would often stop by the driveway of the duplex I was renting
from him and discuss what town council was up to or what he thought
Clinton was doing to the country and things of that sort.
One day, he blurted out, “I just don’t understand the stock
market.” I braced myself for a discussion about market volatility
and market timing and that sort of thing, but that’s not what I
got.
At a basic level, the stock market just made no sense to him.
What are you really buying, he asked. In his mind, stocks were akin
to lottery tickets. Sure they had track records and paid more often
than not, but owning stock didn’t feel like owning much of anything
to him.
Nope, he was a real estate man with an emphasis on the word
real. He wasn’t the high-risk developer type. He was a property
owner. The place I rented from him was one of many he owned. He
fixed them up himself, drove a truck loaded with tools to do so,
fought with planning commissions and building departments about his
renovation plans and watched his equity build.
“Buy a place as soon as you can,” he told me. In fact, he wanted
me to buy a fourplex and live in one unit while I rented the other
three. I got the sense pretty early on that he wasn’t talking to me
as much as he was talking to that part of himself that wished he
was 23 years old again and could do things right.
I would have been smart to follow his advice, find the money
somewhere — anywhere — and start building equity myself. When the
stock market crumbled in 2008, I thought a lot about that
landlord.
On one hand, I shared wholeheartedly in his questions about
stocks and investment funded and what we’re really buying.
Ironically, what we were buying in many of those funds were real
estate loans.
Still, I was left with a tear-stained 401k statement, and he was
left with tangible property probably still worth more than he paid
for it 15-20 years ago, which still lent weight to the other hand
which said owning land and buildings will always be there for you,
just be patient.
While I rented from him, a buddy of mine bought a house in
Aurora. He was the first of my college gang to own a home, and to
call that tri-level collection of DIY projects a starter home is an
understatement. He bought that place for $95,000 and sold it seven
years later for just over $170,000. Ah, the ’90s.
Of course, we didn’t think, “Ah, the ’90s” back then. That’s
just the way real estate worked then and the way it always had
worked. Buy a place and over time you’ll see returns well above
what you’re repaying. I could see the trends in my own family. My
first (and likely last) new car cost more than my parents paid for
their house. The down payment on that car was more than double what
my grandparents spent on their nice house. That’s not a bad return
on investment over the long haul.
So when my wife and I bought our house, I felt like we had
arrived to a certain place of stability in our financial lives.
We had indeed arrived, just not where we expected. We arrived at
what might be the greatest seismic swing in the arena of personal
wealth since World War II.
We all know that the real estate market is down. But it’s been
down before. We knew what to do: just ride it out because
high-rising property values will, eventually, give us more equity
than we’re really paying for, and all will be right with the world
again. Patience will be the virtue it always has been.
Time has passed and we’ve been dutifully riding things out like
good little home owners.
Well, we better get used to riding.
I’m writing this on the eve of the release of July’s real estate
figures which are expected to show continued downward slides in the
number of homes on the market and the number of months homes are on
the market before they sell, according to a New York Times story
earlier this week.
That same story takes a broader view, quoting industry insiders
who say the days of getting more than you paid for out of your home
may be over forever. You’ll get your money back, but your home will
not be the great nest eggs my grandparents’ home was, that my
parents’ home was, my landlords’ homes were or even my college
buddy’s first home purchased 15 years ago.
Is the speculation right? Time will tell. But patience might not
be the virtue it once was. Re-examining our assumptions and
adjusting our thinking about wealth might just be replacing it.
Jeremy Bangs is the managing editor of Colorado Community
Newspapers.